Western Conference: Players To Watch In 2015-16, Part I
Every team in the NHL has changed in some way since the Chicago Blackhawks defeated the Tampa Bay Lightning in the 2015 Stanley Cup Final. Whether it was solely through the entry-level draft or also by way of trades and free agent signings, no squad will look exactly the same come early-October as it did in mid-June.
More From Blackhawk Up — Central Division’s 5 Most Hated Players
All players on a team are impacted when it undergoes roster changes. So we’re going to take a look at a player from each Western Conference team you should keep your eye on during the 2015-16 season. Whether it’s because he’s new to the club or because he’ll have to take on an increased role with the club he’s been with for some time — or because there’s really no one else to watch for — each team has at least one player who will receive extra attention from hockey fans beyond their own fanbase.
We’re going to start this glance by heading to the Pacific Division, and we’ll tackle the Central Division later this week:
May 22, 2015; Tampa, FL, USA; New York Rangers left wing
Carl Hagelin(62) skates against the Tampa Bay Lightning in game four of the Eastern Conference Final of the 2015 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Amalie Arena. Mandatory Credit: Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports
Anaheim Ducks
Carl Hagelin, LW
Last season (with New York Rangers): 101 games, 19 goals, 21 assists, plus-14 rating
Why we should watch him: Hagelin followed up a pretty rough 2015 playoff run, in which he tallied just five points with a minus-4 rating in 19 games, by receiving a four-year contract from the Ducks. Hagelin is tied for sixth on his new club in largest cap hit per season at $4 million, so he’ll be expected to do things a top-six forward would do.
Will he be able to do that in Anaheim? His surrounding cast could certainly help; you imagine he’ll get to play alongside Ryan Kesler, who isn’t a pushover at center. Hagelin has averaged 15:38 in ice time through his four years in the NHL, so he should expect that number to rise. But what it comes down to is this: Hagelin is going to need to surpass his 35 points from last season, and in a big way. He hasn’t topped the 38-point mark he established in his rookie season, which saw him place fifth in Calder Trophy voting.
Hagelin should have the pieces around him to blow by 40 points, but it’s up to him to make it come together. He’ll also have to deal with being the big offseason signing (it’s either him or Kevin Bieksa) for a team that has Stanley Cup Final appearance aspirations.
Apr 7, 2015; Calgary, Alberta, CAN; Arizona Coyotes defenseman
Oliver Ekman-Larsson(23) skates against the Calgary Flames during the third period at Scotiabank Saddledome. Calgary Flames won 3-2. Mandatory Credit: Sergei Belski-USA TODAY Sports
Arizona Coyotes
Oliver Ekman-Larsson, D
Last season (with Arizona): 82 games, 23 goals, 20 assists, minus-18 rating, 10 powerplay goals
Why we should watch him: I guess we could put Dylan Strome here, but he’s not exactly in the same situation as Connor McDavid in Edmonton or Jack Eichel in Buffalo. Those two teams, as bad as they were last season, appear to be building up to revivals. The Coyotes aren’t going anywhere but further down the standings next season, and there’s not far to fall.
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But Ekman-Larsson is a huge bright spot on this team. There’s a reason he gets paid more than just about everyone on the team. He just turned 24 this offseason and has been in the league for five seasons, pushing his stats and the team each step of the way. His 23 goals last year were a career high, and his 43 points were one short of the total he put up last season — although the 24 he posted in 48 games during the lockout season of 2013 probably would’ve swelled well past 43.
After averaging less than 16 minutes a game his rookie season, he saw more than 22 minutes of ice time per contest in 2011-12. That figure has jumped to more than 25 minutes a game each of the last three seasons. He lays the body (167 hits last season, a career high), gets in front of shots (77 blocks), and helps his team offensively in all situations (12 even-strength and 11 special-teams goals last season). He just doesn’t have much around him to make his star status mean something, beyond individual plaudits.
Arizona isn’t going to ship off the franchise’s cornerstone, but it’ll be interesting to see if he can make the leap from low-first-tier defenseman to that upper echelon that gets Norris Trophy consideration despite not having much around him to aid that quest. It’ll certainly be more interesting than watching John Scott try to do his best Raffi Torres impersonation in the desert.
May 5, 2015; Calgary, Alberta, CAN; Calgary Flames left wing Johnny Gaudreau (13) celebrates goal by Calgary Flames center
Mikael Backlund(not pictured) against the Anaheim Ducks during the overtime period in game three of the second round of the 2015 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Scotiabank Saddledome. Calgary Flames won 4-3. Mandatory Credit: Sergei Belski-USA TODAY Sports
Calgary Flames
Johnny Gaudreau, LW
Last season (with Calgary): 91 games, 28 goals, 45 assists, plus-9 rating, third place in Calder Trophy voting
Why we should watch him: Gaudreau is in a contract year after exploding on to the scene in Calgary. That might be reason enough to watch him, but there’s plenty more to discuss here.
The Flames were a super surprise as a playoff team last season and probably overachieved in the regular season. If they can get back to the postseason in 2015-16, and not so much as an overachiever, Gaudreau will be a key reason why. The kid’s middle name might as well be Highlight Reel. He’s fantastically skilled and a shade over 22-years-old on a team that’s been aching for a leader since Jarome Iginla left. Can Gaudreau fill that role? You bet he’ll want to, at least for contract’s sake.
He averaged nearly 18 minutes of ice time per game in his rookie season and scored about a third of his points while on special teams. His shooting percentage was an unsustainable 14.4 percent last season, but Gaudreau knows how to make plays and set up himself and his teammates for offensive success.
The Flames are going to need him to a) not go through a sophomore slump and b) turn into a solid two-way player who demands the captain’s “C” at some point in the future. It should be fun to see if Gaudreau can step up to the plate.
Next: The Oilers, Kings, Sharks and Canucks
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Jul 2, 2015; Edmonton, Alberta, Canada; NHL draft number one pick Connor McDavid takes part in the Edmonton Oilers rookie camp at the Rexall Center. Mandatory Credit: Erich Schlegel-USA TODAY Sports
Edmonton Oilers
Connor McDavid, C
Last season (with Erie Otters, OHL): 67 games, 65 goals, 104 assists, plus-60 rating (rating regular season only)
Why we should watch him: You need a reason to watch the NHL’s top overall draft pick on a team that regularly destroys them? I don’t believe you.
McDavid is going to be expected to make an impact at the game’s top level, and quickly. He tallied 49 points in 20 playoff games with the Otters. That alone is obscene. His skills are something Edmonton feels it needs to put its constantly broken puzzle together. It all comes down to how McDavid lives up to the expectations surrounding him.
Edmonton the city will chew him up and spit him out in a hurry if his first season is a disappointment. The Oilers themselves need to be careful with him, though. I’m not saying you coddle him and control his minutes down to the nanosecond, but this is a team that has taken Taylor Hall and Nail Yakopov with top draft picks and has pretty much allowed them to be broken down both within the team and outside it. Hall has handled it better than Yakopov, but there’s really no reason they, or McDavid, should have to deal with that in the first place.
So it’ll be interesting to see how McDavid handles his first year in the big leagues — he’ll be expected to play more than 67 games, at the least — and how Edmonton handles his maturation — he is only 18.
Mar 31, 2015; Boston, MA, USA; Boston Bruins left wing
Milan Lucic(17) skates past the bench after scoring a goal during the third period against the Florida Panthers at TD Banknorth Garden. The Boston Bruins won 3-2. Mandatory Credit: Greg M. Cooper-USA TODAY Sports
Los Angeles Kings
Milan Lucic, LW
Last season (with Boston): 81 games, 18 goals, 26 assists, plus-13 rating, 259 hits
Why we should watch him: I had a hard time with this one and was kind of tempted to take the easy way out and say “everyone.” The Kings have had an interesting offseason, with missing the playoffs the year after winning a Cup and the drug problems surrounding two now-former team members. But the Kings made a pretty noticeable acquisition around the NHL draft in Lucic.
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Lucic was the quintessential Bruin for eight seasons with the team and earned a Stanley Cup in the process. He scored a fair amount (his career high in points is 62), but he was the gritty, use-your-body type of guy who Boston fans love. So what do the Kings want with him?
That’s the million-dollar question. Sure, captain Dustin Brown is a hard-nosed guy, but he hangs out in the bottom six. Drew Doughty is mostly pouty, and Los Angeles’ top six has been primarily reserved for skill guys. Where does Lucic fit in? What role are they expecting him to take on? This opportunity could provide a career revitalization for Lucic, or it could have him joining Mike Richards on the buyout list. It’ll be an interesting viewing party either way.
Apr 7, 2015; Edmonton, Alberta, CAN; Los Angeles Kings goalie Martin Jones (31) is seen out on the ice as they took on the Edmonton Oilers during the second period at Rexall Place. Mandatory Credit: Walter Tychnowicz-USA TODAY Sports
San Jose Sharks
Martin Jones, G
Last season (with Los Angeles): 11 starts, 4 wins, 5 losses, .906 save percentage, 2.25 goals-allowed average
Why we should watch him: With Antti Niemi now in Dallas, the starting goaltender reigns have been turned over to a pair of career backups, to this point. Not that Jones nor Alex Stalock has been around that long — Jones is entering his third NHL season, Stalock his fifth. But the Sharks, who have been in flux over the past couple seasons so far as “will they go for a rebuild or do they feel they have a playoff window,” are putting a heavy workload on Jones, with not much to back up that confidence.
Jones has played in 34 NHL games, including 29 starts, behind Jonathan Quick in his career. He was fine in his first season, posting 12 wins and a .934 save percentage, but he was pretty bad last season, as shown by the numbers above. And it’s not as though Jones is moving out from behind a terrible defense in L.A. into an awesome one in San Jose.
So is the four-year deal Jones received justified? He’s going to have plenty of time to prove it is. And if he can’t, this spot on our list becomes Stalock’s, as does the pressure of carrying the Sharks from the back end.
(Editor’s note: I completely skipped over the Sharks when I first posted this. I apologize for that.)
Feb 24, 2015; Boston, MA, USA; Vancouver Canucks center
Bo Horvat(53) skates against the Boston Bruins during the first period at TD Garden. Mandatory Credit: Winslow Townson-USA TODAY Sports
Vancouver Canucks
Bo Horvat, C
Last season (with Vancouver): 13 goals, 12 assists, minus-8 rating, 14.0 shooting percentage
Why we should watch him: In all honestly, I feel there’s a fair chance this team finishes last in the Pacific in 2015-16. Pretty much every other team in the division is improving or not getting worse. Vancouver has done nothing to get better this offseason and may be going through the first stages of a youth movement (yeah, I know the Sedins and Ryan Miller are still around). So why not keep an eye on a guy who has a chance to be the team’s next young star?
Horvat was a first-round pick of the Canucks in 2013 after Vancouver got the ninth-overall pick from New Jersey in the Cory Schneider trade. Horvat cracked the big-league roster for the first time last season and fared decently, though he only averaged 12:16 of ice time. If head coach Willie Desjardins really wants to make this team his own and commit to a youth movement that’s inevitably coming, he’ll give Horvat a longer leash in 2015-16.
All of his points except one came at even strength last season. Horvat could have a breakout sophomore season and be a cornerstone for the Canucks in the future. Or they could piss him off and trade him away/buy him out. We’ll see.
Next: 5 Blackhawks Games Worth Missing In 2015-16